Because I am delayed in writing my piece on immigration, I include this provocative piece by Gwynne Dyer, who appears to be writing from Vancouver. It is a most interesting piece, and I shall be referring to the ideas in this article in my article, still to be written.----------Hugh Murray
Gwynne
Dyer, Straight, June 5, 2012
What if
China, flush with its new wealth, opened its doors to mass immigration? It
would make sense from an economic and social point of view, because its
one-child-per-family policy has produced a young generation far smaller than
the one that now does most of the work. China’s population is “aging” (i.e. its
average age is going up) faster than any other country in history, and it could
certainly do with some more young people.
If it
had an immigration policy like that of the United States, it could fill all the
gaping holes in the workforce that will open up when the present adult
generation retires, and there would be enough people working and paying taxes
to support that older generation in its “golden years”. Otherwise, there will
be barely one worker for each retiree, and their post-retirement years will be
far from golden.
So
let’s suppose China opens the gates. (Stay with me on this.) The immigrants
would come, from all over the world. Probably most would be from south and
south-east Asia (India, Pakistan, Burma, Indonesia, the Philippines), but
plenty of Russians would come too. So would Arabs from the slums of Cairo, and
Congolese from the slums of Kinshasa, and Mexicans fleeing the bloody war on
drugs.
{snip}
They
would all come, and China would be transformed. In 50 or 60 years it would be
one of the world’s most diverse societies. Almost all the new immigrants would
learn to speak some Chinese, of course, but their children would be fluent in
the language. Indeed, they would think of themselves as Chinese, even though
their skins were white, brown, or black and their religions Muslim, Christian,
Buddhist, or Hindu.
Some
tens of millions of them would already have intermarried with ethnic Chinese,
if only because there are tens of millions of young Chinese men who will
otherwise remain unmarried. (The Chinese have been killing too many of their
baby girls.) And everybody would live more or less happily ever after.
I know.
It’s never going to happen, because the Chinese would never let it happen. But
that’s precisely the point. The Americans have let it happen. Why?
I’m not
saying it is a bad thing. Personally, I like it. But it is an extraordinary
thing. Sixty years ago the United States was a country whose population was
overwhelmingly of white European descent. The only really big minority was the
black and mixed-race descendants of African slaves, who accounted for about
one-eighth of the population. And then the United States opened the gates very
wide.
Last
month, the U.S. Census Bureau revealed that non-white births in the country
narrowly exceeded the number of births to white Americans for the first time.
{snip}
{snip}
So why
did the last two generations of Americans, who were still mostly of European
descent, let it happen? Did they welcome and encourage it, as a good thing for
the country’s future? Or were they just asleep at the wheel?
Some
Americans certainly did encourage it, arguing that turning the United States
into a microcosm of the whole world was fulfilling its destiny, and that the
sheer diversity of its future population would give it a huge competitive
advantage in the world. But there were not many people who made that argument,
and there is actually little evidence to show that ethnic diversity makes a
country more competitive.
Nor did
this immense change happen while the old white population was just not paying
attention. There were debates about immigration policy all the time, there was
plenty of information about where the current immigration policy was leading,
and Americans simply let it happen.
{snip}
Maybe the
last two generations of Americans were a lot less racist than many
people—including many Americans—thought. Or perhaps they were all silently
aware that only 500 years ago, none of the births in North America were white.
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